Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 08:30

Prediction: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Pierre Delage

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Gabriele Maria Noce Pierre Delage
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Maria Noce 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLWWWL
Pierre Delage 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Maria Noce 1496 · Pierre Delage 1526
Gabriele Maria NocePierre Delage
Our model46%54%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Pierre Delage makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Gabriele Maria NocePierre Delage
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1
Games (G-P)10.4-11.29.9-9.6
Aces1.85.4
Double faults2.64.9
1st serve %62.7%72.6%
Break %45.7%59.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Maria Noce

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Pietro Marino
M15 Gubbio
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Filippo Alfano
M15 Gubbio
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Michele Mecarelli
M15 Gubbio
2-0 13-9 W
05/07 Tsung-Hao Huang
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
03/07 Jakub Nicod
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
02/07 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
01/07 Dax Donders
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Brian Bozemoj
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
20/06 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/06 Savva Rybkin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Pierre Delage

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Davide Tortora
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/07 Guglielmo Verdese
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Filippo Callerio
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/07 Ognjen Milic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
07/07 Nikola Djosic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Royan · Clay
1-2 8-15 L
25/05 Mae Malige
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/05 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Maria Noce vs Pierre Delage?

Our model gives 62% to Pierre Delage, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.