Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 13:30

Prediction: Aleksa Oparnica vs Tim Vaisman

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Aleksa Oparnica Tim Vaisman
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksa Oparnica 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Tim Vaisman 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aleksa Oparnica 1516 · Tim Vaisman 1522
Aleksa OparnicaTim Vaisman
Our model49%51%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Aleksa OparnicaTim Vaisman
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-1
Games (G-P)11-10.210.8-10.1
Aces0.31.5
Double faults3.72.9
1st serve %59.7%67.5%
Break %34.7%48.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aleksa Oparnica

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Nikola Jovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
26/06 Ander Tarrio Ponte
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Valeriy Martishev
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 David Knesl
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
23/06 Paris Pouatcha
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
19/05 Carles Hernandez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
19/04 Caheer Warik
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
18/04 Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
16/04 Peter Goldsteiner
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Tim Vaisman

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/05 Simeon Stankovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Federico Valle
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/04 Vadym Ursu
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
22/04 Sergey Petrov
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
21/04 Nikita Ianin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 12-10 W
20/04 Gery Silvestri
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/03 Grigory Shebekin
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
24/03 Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 9-8 W
11/02 Akira Santillan
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
10/02 Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aleksa Oparnica vs Tim Vaisman?

Our model gives 63% to Tim Vaisman, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.