Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 13:30
Prediction: Vlado Jankanj vs Alessandro Bellifemine
Prediction summary
Winner
Vlado Jankanj
Alessandro Bellifemine
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vlado Jankanj
5-5 (W-L)
Alessandro Bellifemine
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vlado Jankanj 1478 · Alessandro Bellifemine 1503
| Vlado Jankanj | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vlado Jankanj | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.7 | 9.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vlado Jankanj
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Pedro Vives Marcos M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sergej Zivkovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Novak Novakovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Oscar Brown M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Alessandro Bellifemine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kostic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Simone Massucco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/04 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vlado Jankanj vs Alessandro Bellifemine?
Our model gives 54% to Vlado Jankanj, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.