Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/07, 08:30
Prediction: Andrea De Marchi vs Lorenzo Comino
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea De Marchi
Lorenzo Comino
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Comino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea De Marchi 1551 · Lorenzo Comino 1522
| Andrea De Marchi | Lorenzo Comino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea De Marchi | Lorenzo Comino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.5 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 27/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Michael Minasyan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lorenzo Comino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Elijah Sanogo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Florian Broska M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sam Kydd Baumgartner M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Niklas Guttau M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Ivan Biletic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/05 | Leonardo Malgaroli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea De Marchi vs Lorenzo Comino?
Our model gives 61% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.