Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/07, 08:30

Prediction: Ali Yazdani vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Ali Yazdani Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ali Yazdani 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWLW
Pedro Vives Marcos 7-3 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ali Yazdani 1581 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1515
Ali YazdaniPedro Vives Marcos
Our model59%41%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ali Yazdani (rating 1581 vs 1515).
  • Ali Yazdani is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Ali YazdaniPedro Vives Marcos
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.2-1
Games (G-P)12.5-9.311.5-10
Aces32.7
Double faults1.53.5
1st serve %62.2%71%
Break %54%41.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ali Yazdani

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/07 Mohammad Alkotop
Davis Cup
2-1 16-11 W
17/07 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
Davis Cup
2-0 12-6 W
16/07 Ha Minh Duc Vu
Davis Cup
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Hao Sheng Koay
Davis Cup
2-0 13-7 W
03/07 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/07 Romain Gales
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 19-17 W
18/06 Viktor Frydrych
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-17 L
17/06 Dominick Mosejczuk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Pedro Vives Marcos

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
16/07 Guglielmo Verdese
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Edoardo Betti
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
10/07 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Valerio Bracci
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/03 Antoni Fabre
M25 Tarragona · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L
04/01 Carl Emil Overbeck
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 18-18 L
30/10 Dan Added
Challenger Monastir · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
28/10 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Monastir · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ali Yazdani vs Pedro Vives Marcos?

Our model gives 66% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.