Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Carolina Alves vs Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Carolina Alves
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Alves
6-4 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Alves 1529 · Oceane Babel 1529
| Carolina Alves | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carolina Alves | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.8 | 11.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Berta Bonardi W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/05 | Lisa Zaar WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Oceane Babel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Josefina Estevez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Marjorie Souza W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/07 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jule Niemeier W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ruien Zhang W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Alves vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 54% to Carolina Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.