Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 16/07, 18:00
Prediction: Marjorie Souza vs Giorgia Pedone
Prediction summary
Winner
Marjorie Souza
Giorgia Pedone
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marjorie Souza
7-3 (W-L)
Giorgia Pedone
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marjorie Souza 1516 · Giorgia Pedone 1483
| Marjorie Souza | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marjorie Souza | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.6 | 9.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 53% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marjorie Souza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicole Giannini W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ana Candiotto W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Giorgia Pedone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Jule Niemeier W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Gorska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marjorie Souza vs Giorgia Pedone?
Our model gives 66% to Giorgia Pedone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.