Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Carolina Xavier Laydner
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Carolina Xavier Laydner
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Carolina Xavier Laydner
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1547 · Carolina Xavier Laydner 1555
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Carolina Xavier Laydner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Carolina Xavier Laydner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.3 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Amy Stevens W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Andreea Prisacariu W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena Korokozidi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Carolina Xavier Laydner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Helena Bueno W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Romina Ccuno W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Lourdes Ayala W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Helena Bueno W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Saniya Singh UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Carolina Xavier Laydner?
Our model gives 71% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.