Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pietro Marino vs Gabriele Pennaforti
Prediction summary
Winner
Pietro Marino
Gabriele Pennaforti
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Marino
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Pennaforti
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pietro Marino
0–1
Gabriele Pennaforti
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Marino 1496 · Gabriele Pennaforti 1471
| Pietro Marino | Gabriele Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pietro Marino 0–1 Gabriele Pennaforti (1).
- Note: Gabriele Pennaforti makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Pietro Marino | Gabriele Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.9 | 9.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Pietro Marino 0 – 1 Gabriele Pennaforti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pietro Marino 0–1 Gabriele Pennaforti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/24 ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Adam Lynch M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Gabriele Pennaforti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | David Eichenseher M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Alec Beckley Challenger Kigali Qual · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/03 | Florent Bax Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Montemar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 14/11 | Ziga Sesko ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/11 | Michele Mecarelli ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/11 | Giannicola Misasi ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/11 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ITF M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Marino vs Gabriele Pennaforti?
Our model gives 60% to Gabriele Pennaforti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

