Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Pietro Marino vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Pietro Marino Gabriele Pennaforti
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Marino 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Gabriele Pennaforti 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Pietro Marino 0–1 Gabriele Pennaforti (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pietro Marino 1496 · Gabriele Pennaforti 1471
Pietro MarinoGabriele Pennaforti
Our model54%46%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Pietro Marino 0–1 Gabriele Pennaforti (1).
  • Note: Gabriele Pennaforti makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Pietro MarinoGabriele Pennaforti
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21-1.2
Games (G-P)10.5-10.99.4-9.3
Aces22.9
Double faults1.24.8
1st serve %62%67.3%
Break %49.6%54.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

H2H · Pietro Marino 01 Gabriele Pennaforti (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pietro Marino 01 Gabriele Pennaforti

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DateSetsGamesRes.
14/11/24
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pietro Marino

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Gubbio
2-1 15-13 W
09/07 Louis Wessels
M25 The Hague
0-2 8-12 L
08/07 Rohan Mehra
M25 The Hague
2-1 17-10 W
03/07 Hazem Naw
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Sydney Zick
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Pavel Lagutin
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
09/06 Tobia Grandinetti
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/06 Adam Lynch
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Gabriele Pennaforti

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 David Eichenseher
M15 Gubbio
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/03 Sean Cuenin
Challenger Kigali · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/03 Alec Beckley
Challenger Kigali Qual · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/03 Florent Bax
Challenger Kigali · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/11 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Montemar · Clay
1-2 13-13 L
14/11 Ziga Sesko
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/11 Michele Mecarelli
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/11 Giannicola Misasi
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
06/11 Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF M25 Valencia
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pietro Marino vs Gabriele Pennaforti?

Our model gives 60% to Gabriele Pennaforti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.