Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Filippo Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Filippo Mazzola
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
7-3 (W-L)
Filippo Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1494 · Filippo Mazzola 1526
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.9 | 9.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Filippo Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Filippo Mazzola?
Our model gives 60% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.