Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Lorenzo Beraldo
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Lorenzo Beraldo
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Van Der Meerschen
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Beraldo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1552 · Lorenzo Beraldo 1486
| Martin Van Der Meerschen | Lorenzo Beraldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Van Der Meerschen (rating 1552 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Martin Van Der Meerschen | Lorenzo Beraldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 9.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Madhwin Kamath Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/05 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/05 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Emilien Demanet M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Sander Jong M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 08/04 | Florent Bax M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Lorenzo Beraldo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Gilberto Ravasio M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriele Maria Piano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Iannis Miletich M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Samuele Pieri M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Luigi Valletta M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/05 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/04 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Lorenzo Beraldo?
Our model gives 63% to Martin Van Der Meerschen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.