Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Diogo Morais vs Pablo Perez Ramos
Prediction summary
Winner
Diogo Morais
Pablo Perez Ramos
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Morais
5-5 (W-L)
Pablo Perez Ramos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diogo Morais 1493 · Pablo Perez Ramos 1574
| Diogo Morais | Pablo Perez Ramos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Perez Ramos (rating 1493 vs 1574).
- Pablo Perez Ramos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Diogo Morais | Pablo Perez Ramos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.1 | 11.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 27% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Francisco Faria M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Porto |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Porto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Reece Falck M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 13/11 | David Fox UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/11 | Hugh Winter UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Iiro Vasa UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Kazuki Nishiwaki ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Max Basing ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Pablo Perez Ramos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Karol Malirz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Carl Holder M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diogo Morais vs Pablo Perez Ramos?
Our model gives 65% to Pablo Perez Ramos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.