Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 16/07, 08:30
Prediction: Nikola Jovic vs Sebastiano Cocola
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Jovic
Sebastiano Cocola
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Jovic
4-6 (W-L)
Sebastiano Cocola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Jovic 1478 · Sebastiano Cocola 1509
| Nikola Jovic | Sebastiano Cocola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikola Jovic makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Jovic | Sebastiano Cocola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-8.5 | 10-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jan Werblinski M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Aleksa Oparnica M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 02/07 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Philipp Bosse M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Simeon Stankovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Samuil Chestovaliev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sebastiano Cocola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Romain Azais M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Niccolo Catini M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Conor Gannon M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Jovic vs Sebastiano Cocola?
Our model gives 68% to Sebastiano Cocola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.