Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 16/07, 03:30
Prediction: Stefani Webb vs Lily Fairclough
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefani Webb
Lily Fairclough
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefani Webb
4-6 (W-L)
Lily Fairclough
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefani Webb 1443 · Lily Fairclough 1531
| Stefani Webb | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lily Fairclough (rating 1443 vs 1531).
- Lily Fairclough is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stefani Webb | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-10.4 | 11.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 66.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefani Webb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mana Kawamura W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 12/01 | Linda Klimovicova Australian Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Ena Shibahara WTA Canberra · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/12 | Naoko Eto ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/12 | India Houghton ITF W15 Hamilton · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 12/12 | Yuno Kitahara ITF W15 Hamilton · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jasmine Adams W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Avery Nguyen W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/05 | Salma Loudili UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefani Webb vs Lily Fairclough?
Our model gives 56% to Stefani Webb, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.