Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 22/07, 05:00
Prediction: Amy Stevens vs Himari Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Amy Stevens
Himari Sato
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Amy Stevens
6-4 (W-L)
Himari Sato
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amy Stevens 1471 · Himari Sato 1535
| Amy Stevens | Himari Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Himari Sato (rating 1471 vs 1535).
- Note: Amy Stevens makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Amy Stevens | Himari Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.4 | 10.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 10 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amy Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Oceane Dodin W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tamara Bachmann W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Georgiana Ruhrig UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 06/05 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Juliette Debrincat UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Himari Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sofia Thorne W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Nithesa Selvaraj W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Chloe Schwarz W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jiho Shin W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Aoi Watanabe W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 22/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amy Stevens vs Himari Sato?
Our model gives 60% to Himari Sato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.