Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 16/07, 02:00
Prediction: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Himari Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Himari Sato
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yoshimoto
7-3 (W-L)
Himari Sato
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natsuki Yoshimoto
1–0
Himari Sato
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1550 · Himari Sato 1517
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Himari Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Natsuki Yoshimoto 1–0 Himari Sato (1).
- Note: Natsuki Yoshimoto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Himari Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 10.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1 – 0 Himari Sato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1–0 Himari Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/23 ITF W15 Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yoshimoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Kurea Hayasaka W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Mao Mushika W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Himari Sato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Nithesa Selvaraj W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Chloe Schwarz W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jiho Shin W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Aoi Watanabe W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 22/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Honori Koyama W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/05 | Dalayna Hewitt W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Himari Sato?
Our model gives 72% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.