Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 16/07, 02:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Belle Thompson
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
7-3 (W-L)
Belle Thompson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1509 · Belle Thompson 1480
| Mutsumi Uemura | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.8 | 9.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 76.4% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Mana Kawamura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Eva Lopez W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Fangran Tian W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriela M Vancea W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Erika Abraham-Nilsen W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Belle Thompson?
Our model gives 61% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.