Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 15/07, 17:00
Prediction: Carolina Xavier Laydner vs Helena Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Carolina Xavier Laydner
Helena Bueno
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Xavier Laydner
4-6 (W-L)
Helena Bueno
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carolina Xavier Laydner
1–0
Helena Bueno
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Xavier Laydner 1528 · Helena Bueno 1430
| Carolina Xavier Laydner | Helena Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Xavier Laydner (rating 1528 vs 1430).
- Carolina Xavier Laydner is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Carolina Xavier Laydner 1–0 Helena Bueno (1).
Statistics
| Carolina Xavier Laydner | Helena Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 6.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 51.1% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
H2H · Carolina Xavier Laydner 1 – 0 Helena Bueno (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Xavier Laydner 1–0 Helena Bueno
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 W15 Rio Claro | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Xavier Laydner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Romina Ccuno W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Lourdes Ayala W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Helena Bueno W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Saniya Singh UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Denton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Helena Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Catalina Delmas Schaerer W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tiziana Rossini W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Isabella Wong W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Inka Wawrzkiewicz W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Sonia Cassani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 11/09 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano ITF W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Xavier Laydner vs Helena Bueno?
Our model gives 72% to Carolina Xavier Laydner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.