Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 15/07, 18:30
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Chiara Di Genova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Chiara Di Genova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Chiara Di Genova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
1–0
Chiara Di Genova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1555 · Chiara Di Genova 1521
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1–0 Chiara Di Genova (1).
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.6 | 10.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 61.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1 – 0 Chiara Di Genova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1–0 Chiara Di Genova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/24 ITF W15 Maringa | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Amy Stevens W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Andreea Prisacariu W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena Korokozidi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Chiara Di Genova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Luana Plaza W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Mariana De Jesus Ribeiro Silveira W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Natalia Trigosso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Emily Zornada W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Chiara Di Genova?
Our model gives 73% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.