Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 15/07, 11:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1593 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1542
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Villanueva (rating 1593 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.9 | 11.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano?
Our model gives 56% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.