Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
4-6 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1519 · Franco Roncadelli 1490
| Maxim Mrva | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.3 | 10.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Jan Sadzik Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 60% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.