Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broska
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Florian Broska
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Florian Broska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1542 · Florian Broska 1599
| Jan Kumstat | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florian Broska (rating 1542 vs 1599).
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 52.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.1 | 13.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Corentin Denolly M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matteo Covato M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broska?
Our model gives 59% to Florian Broska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.