Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1518 · Jan Kumstat 1547
| Tom Gentzsch | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 54.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.6 | 11.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Tiago Pereira ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Corentin Denolly M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 50% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.