Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 17/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Max Houkes
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Max Houkes
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tom Gentzsch
1–0
Max Houkes
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1499 · Max Houkes 1467
| Tom Gentzsch | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 40.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tom Gentzsch 1–0 Max Houkes (1).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.8 | 9.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Tom Gentzsch 1 – 0 Max Houkes (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tom Gentzsch 1–0 Max Houkes
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 ITF M25 Uberlingen | 2-0 | 12-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Tiago Pereira ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Max Houkes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Marco Cecchinato French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/04 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Valentin Royer Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes?
Our model gives 55% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.