Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Guy Den Ouden
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Guy Den Ouden
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
7-3 (W-L)
Guy Den Ouden
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Nijboer
0–1
Guy Den Ouden
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1600 · Guy Den Ouden 1548
| Ryan Nijboer | Guy Den Ouden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1600 vs 1548).
- Head-to-head: Ryan Nijboer 0–1 Guy Den Ouden (1).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Guy Den Ouden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.9 | 12.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 53% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Ryan Nijboer 0 – 1 Guy Den Ouden (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Nijboer 0–1 Guy Den Ouden
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/23 M25 The Hague | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Maxence Bertimon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Guy Den Ouden
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federico Coria Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Matej Dodig Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Guy Den Ouden?
Our model gives 59% to Guy Den Ouden, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.