Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 19/07, 14:00
Prediction: Guy Den Ouden vs Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Guy Den Ouden
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Guy Den Ouden
5-5 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guy Den Ouden 1554 · Tom Gentzsch 1543
| Guy Den Ouden | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 50.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Guy Den Ouden | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.4 | 12-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 78% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guy Den Ouden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federico Coria Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Tiago Pereira ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guy Den Ouden vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 55% to Guy Den Ouden, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.