Prediction: Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedder
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuria Brancaccio
Eva Vedder
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nuria Brancaccio
7-3 (W-L)
Eva Vedder
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuria Brancaccio
0–1
Eva Vedder
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuria Brancaccio 1474 · Eva Vedder 1650
| Nuria Brancaccio | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Vedder (rating 1474 vs 1650).
- Nuria Brancaccio dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 40% break avg.
- Eva Vedder is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nuria Brancaccio 0–1 Eva Vedder (1).
Statistics
| Nuria Brancaccio | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.6 | 13.2-8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 40% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Nuria Brancaccio 0 – 1 Eva Vedder (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuria Brancaccio 0–1 Eva Vedder
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/19 ITF W15 Tabarka | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jessica Pieri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Eva Vedder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Francesca Pace WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedder?
Our model gives 63% to Eva Vedder, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.