Tennis · WTA Rome · 16/07, 10:30

Prediction: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Teodora Kostovic Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Teodora Kostovic 5-5 (W-L)
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Lucia Bronzetti 7-3 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teodora Kostovic 1552 · Lucia Bronzetti 1594
Teodora KostovicLucia Bronzetti
Our model44%56%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1552 vs 1594).

Statistics

Teodora KostovicLucia Bronzetti
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.5-0.7
Games (G-P)12-9.511.6-9.9
Aces3.81.6
Double faults32.9
1st serve %67%61.7%
Break %48.5%45.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teodora Kostovic

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Jennifer Ruggeri
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-13 L
10/07 Tamara Zidansek
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Jule Niemeier
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 17-13 W
08/07 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Lin Zhu
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Rebecca Sramkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-16 W
23/06 Yeon Woo Ku
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Ipek Oz
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L

Lucia Bronzetti

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Alessandra Mazzola
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Lina Gjorcheska
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
24/06 Justina Mikulskyte
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Maddison Inglis
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-13 W
14/06 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Modena · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
13/06 Laura Samsonova
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
12/06 Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Julia Grabher
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 14-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti?

Our model gives 52% to Teodora Kostovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.