Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 16/07, 11:00

Prediction: Maxwell McKennon vs Luke Hooper

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Maxwell McKennon Luke Hooper
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maxwell McKennon 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWLW
Luke Hooper 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maxwell McKennon 1520 · Luke Hooper 1524
Maxwell McKennonLuke Hooper
Our model49%51%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maxwell McKennon makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Luke Hooper makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Maxwell McKennonLuke Hooper
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.71.2-1
Games (G-P)11.5-7.510-8.6
Aces4.44.1
Double faults4.46.1
1st serve %76%68.8%
Break %38.2%43.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maxwell McKennon

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Goncalo Marques
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
0-1 3-6 L
24/06 Joao Domingues
M25 Porto
1-2 16-14 L
14/06 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
13/06 Haydar Cem Gokpinar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Volodymyr Iakubenko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Rafael De Alba
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
10/06 Felix Roussel
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/06 Mert Naci Turker
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
05/06 Daniel Phillips
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Luke Hooper

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Peter Sychev
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-1 W
04/06 Benjamin Willwerth
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/06 Tiago Silva
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W
27/05 Aziz Ouakaa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/05 Matt Ponchet
M25 Nottingham
0-2 4-12 L
30/04 Marcus Walters
M25 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
29/04 Freddie Ridout
M25 Nottingham
2-1 17-11 W
08/04 Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/04 Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
06/04 Mikhail Kulyagin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maxwell McKennon vs Luke Hooper?

Our model gives 68% to Maxwell McKennon, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.