Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboer
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels Visker
Ryan Nijboer
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Ryan Nijboer
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Niels Visker
1–1
Ryan Nijboer
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Visker 1504 · Ryan Nijboer 1611
| Niels Visker | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1504 vs 1611).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Niels Visker | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.7 | 12.7-9 |
| Aces | 11.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 29.2% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Niels Visker 1 – 1 Ryan Nijboer (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Niels Visker 1–1 Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/23 Challenger Amersfoort | 2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 02/06/21 ITF M15 Skopje | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Visker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Dan Added Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Elias Ymer ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Michael Geerts Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 23/04 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Maxence Bertimon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model gives 62% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.