Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Pieter De Lange
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Pieter De Lange
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Pieter De Lange
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1482 · Pieter De Lange 1583
| Tom Gentzsch | Pieter De Lange | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pieter De Lange (rating 1482 vs 1583).
- Pieter De Lange is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Pieter De Lange makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Pieter De Lange | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.1 | 12-10.1 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 39% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Tiago Pereira ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Pieter De Lange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jakub Nicod M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Fons Van Sambeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Pieter De Lange?
Our model gives 59% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.