Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 16/07, 11:00

Prediction: Filippo Romano vs Daniel Elahi Galan

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Filippo Romano Daniel Elahi Galan
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Romano 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLLLWWL
Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Filippo Romano 1503 · Daniel Elahi Galan 1563
Filippo RomanoDaniel Elahi Galan
Our model41%59%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Elahi Galan (rating 1503 vs 1563).

Statistics

Filippo RomanoDaniel Elahi Galan
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.41.5-1
Games (G-P)12.4-13.412.5-11.1
Aces5.14.1
Double faults2.91.5
1st serve %65.5%67.8%
Break %42.1%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Filippo Romano

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
07/07 Max Basing
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 15-13 L
30/06 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 10-17 L
20/06 Murphy Cassone
ATP Mallorca · Grass
0-2 6-13 L
14/06 Andrea Guerrieri
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
13/06 Jacob Fearnley
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
1-2 14-18 L
13/06 Oliver Tarvet
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
2-1 13-13 W
12/06 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
2-1 18-15 W
10/06 Felix Gill
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
08/06 Alastair Gray
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
2-0 13-8 W

Daniel Elahi Galan

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Abel Forger
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
17/06 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
13/06 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
12/06 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-1 12-14 W
11/06 Marco Trungelliti
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-1 19-15 W
08/06 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
01/06 Marc Polmans
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/06 Tim Handel
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Filippo Romano vs Daniel Elahi Galan?

Our model gives 64% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.