Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1561 · Lorenzo Angelini 1601
| Max Alcala Gurri | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Angelini (rating 1561 vs 1601).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.6 | 11.1-6.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 65% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 03/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Best M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 63% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.