Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Bondioli vs Guido Ivan Justo
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Bondioli
Guido Ivan Justo
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Bondioli
3-7 (W-L)
Guido Ivan Justo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Bondioli 1515 · Guido Ivan Justo 1558
| Federico Bondioli | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guido Ivan Justo (rating 1515 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Federico Bondioli | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-14.2 | 11.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 28.6% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Bondioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 11/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Guido Ivan Justo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Bondioli vs Guido Ivan Justo?
Our model gives 56% to Guido Ivan Justo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.