Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 15/07, 05:00
Prediction: Lily Fairclough vs Jasmine Adams
Prediction summary
Winner
Lily Fairclough
Jasmine Adams
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lily Fairclough
6-4 (W-L)
Jasmine Adams
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lily Fairclough 1532 · Jasmine Adams 1566
| Lily Fairclough | Jasmine Adams | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lily Fairclough | Jasmine Adams | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.6 | 10.4-6.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 59% |
| Break % | 71.1% | 63.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Avery Nguyen W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/05 | Salma Loudili UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/05 | Sonya Goldberg UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jasmine Adams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Bianca Compuesto W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/05 | Mahta Khanloo UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/05 | Charlotte Vanstone Mcgrath UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Mahta Khanloo UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/05 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lily Fairclough vs Jasmine Adams?
Our model gives 55% to Lily Fairclough, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.