Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Shiho Shibata vs Tori Russell
Prediction summary
Winner
Shiho Shibata
Tori Russell
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shiho Shibata
7-3 (W-L)
Tori Russell
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiho Shibata 1570 · Tori Russell 1514
| Shiho Shibata | Tori Russell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shiho Shibata (rating 1570 vs 1514).
Statistics
| Shiho Shibata | Tori Russell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9 | 10.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 65.3% | 65.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiho Shibata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sara Mickoska W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Xi Luo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Jeong Moon W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Ella Idzikowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Faustine Liope UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Pauline Ma UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Tori Russell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Grace Cadwallader W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/02 | Ying Zhang W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Sarah Rokusek W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/02 | Alicia Smith W75 Brisbane Qual |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/02 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/02 | Rianna Alame W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/01 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Sarah Rokusek ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/12 | Chiara Di Tommaso ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/12 | Angelina Graovac ITF W35 Tauranga · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiho Shibata vs Tori Russell?
Our model gives 60% to Tori Russell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.