Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 16/07, 08:30
Prediction: Antoni Fabre vs Ivan Gretskiy
Prediction summary
Winner
Antoni Fabre
Ivan Gretskiy
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Antoni Fabre
4-6 (W-L)
Ivan Gretskiy
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antoni Fabre 1502 · Ivan Gretskiy 1461
| Antoni Fabre | Ivan Gretskiy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antoni Fabre (rating 1502 vs 1461).
- Note: Ivan Gretskiy makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Antoni Fabre | Ivan Gretskiy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-9.1 | 9.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antoni Fabre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Michael Minasyan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Sander Jong M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Thomas Gimenez M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/04 | Victor Barrere M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Ivan Gretskiy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Marwan Ehab M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Zubin Omar M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/05 | Nico Hipfl M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 06/05 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/04 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/04 | Aaron Funk M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Xiuyuan Guo M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antoni Fabre vs Ivan Gretskiy?
Our model gives 68% to Antoni Fabre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.