Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andrea Colombo vs Noah Lopez Cherubino
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Colombo
Noah Lopez Cherubino
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Colombo
6-4 (W-L)
Noah Lopez Cherubino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Colombo 1509 · Noah Lopez Cherubino 1484
| Andrea Colombo | Noah Lopez Cherubino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea Colombo | Noah Lopez Cherubino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.3 | 9.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 44% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 24/06 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Igor Kudriashov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Noah Lopez Cherubino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Zach Stephens M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Jimenez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Maj Premzl M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Mathys Picard ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Colombo vs Noah Lopez Cherubino?
Our model gives 55% to Andrea Colombo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.