Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Matthias Uwe Kask vs Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthias Uwe Kask
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matthias Uwe Kask
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthias Uwe Kask 1515 · Tiago Cacao 1517
| Matthias Uwe Kask | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matthias Uwe Kask | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.8 | 11.4-10 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthias Uwe Kask
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Rafael Segado Esteve M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Didrik Liljekvist M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Markus Molder M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Hanu Patel M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/11 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/11 | Alejandro Arcila UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Tiago Cacao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Karan Singh M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Joao Domingues M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
| 04/04 | Julio Cesar Porras UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Hugo Maia UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/04 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 31/03 | Vitek Horak UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthias Uwe Kask vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 59% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.