Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lucas Marionneau vs Tiago Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Marionneau
Tiago Silva
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Marionneau
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Silva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Marionneau 1549 · Tiago Silva 1521
| Lucas Marionneau | Tiago Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tiago Silva makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Marionneau | Tiago Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.9 | 11.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Marionneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zac Hamill M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Will Mayew M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Zamora M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Johnston M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Justin Roberts M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tiago Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Miguel Semedo M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Diego Fernandez Flores M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/02 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/02 | Jordan Chiu UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/02 | Robin Boeckli UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/02 | Carlos J R Membrives UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/02 | Farzan Amiri UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Marionneau vs Tiago Silva?
Our model gives 62% to Lucas Marionneau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.