Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Joao Dinis Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Joao Dinis Silva
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Dinis Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
1–1
Joao Dinis Silva
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1524 · Joao Dinis Silva 1517
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Joao Dinis Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Joao Dinis Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1 – 1 Joao Dinis Silva (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1–1 Joao Dinis Silva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/24 M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/02/24 M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Dan Added M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Thomas Miranda M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Gabriele Piraino M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Joao Dinis Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | John Echeverria M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Tiago Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Loan Lestir M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Joao Dinis Silva?
Our model gives 65% to Rafael Izquierdo Luque, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.