Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Vasco L Prata vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Vasco L Prata
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Vasco L Prata
7-3 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vasco L Prata 1569 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1505
| Vasco L Prata | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasco L Prata (rating 1569 vs 1505).
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Vasco L Prata | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.2 | 11.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 52% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasco L Prata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | John Echeverria M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Carles Rojas M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Tiago Pereira M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Joao Portugal M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/06 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | David Naharro M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Peru Bayo M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasco L Prata vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 66% to Vasco L Prata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.