Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Salvador Monteiro vs Rodrigo Leal
Prediction summary
Winner
Salvador Monteiro
Rodrigo Leal
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Salvador Monteiro
2-8 (W-L)
Rodrigo Leal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvador Monteiro 1419 · Rodrigo Leal 1501
| Salvador Monteiro | Rodrigo Leal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Leal (rating 1419 vs 1501).
- Rodrigo Leal is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Salvador Monteiro | Rodrigo Leal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-12.3 | 9-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvador Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Rohan Mehra M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Laslo Djere Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/02 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/02 | James Beaven M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/02 | Naoya Honda M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Tiago Cacao M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/11 | Alastair Gray M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo ITF M25 Sintra · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Rodrigo Leal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Joao Mendes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Joao Portugal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Otso Martikainen M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/04 | Patrick Schoen M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Edison Ambarzumjan M25 Faro |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/11 | Marvin Moeller M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvador Monteiro vs Rodrigo Leal?
Our model gives 60% to Rodrigo Leal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.