Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 15/07, 15:00
Prediction: Carolina Alves vs Berta Bonardi
Prediction summary
Winner
Carolina Alves
Berta Bonardi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Alves
5-5 (W-L)
Berta Bonardi
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carolina Alves
2–0
Berta Bonardi
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Alves 1527 · Berta Bonardi 1456
| Carolina Alves | Berta Bonardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Alves (rating 1527 vs 1456).
- Head-to-head: Carolina Alves 2–0 Berta Bonardi (2).
- Note: Berta Bonardi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Carolina Alves | Berta Bonardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 8.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 53.9% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Carolina Alves 2 – 0 Berta Bonardi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Alves 2–0 Berta Bonardi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/25 W35 Sao Paulo | 1-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11/22 ITF W60 Barranquilla | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/05 | Lisa Zaar WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Berta Bonardi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Min Liu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Yihan Qu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Jordina Font W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Sonia Cassani W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Alves vs Berta Bonardi?
Our model gives 72% to Carolina Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.