Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 14/07, 17:00
Prediction: Helena Bueno vs Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Prediction summary
Winner
Helena Bueno
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Helena Bueno
3-7 (W-L)
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Helena Bueno
1–1
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Helena Bueno 1426 · Jennifer Rosa Dourado 1450
| Helena Bueno | Jennifer Rosa Dourado | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Helena Bueno | Jennifer Rosa Dourado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-10 | 7.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52.4% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 40% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
H2H · Helena Bueno 1 – 1 Jennifer Rosa Dourado (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Helena Bueno 1–1 Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/25 W35 Sao Paulo | 2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 27/11/22 ITF W60 Rio de Janeiro | 1-2 | 19-23 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Helena Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Catalina Delmas Schaerer W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tiziana Rossini W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Isabella Wong W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Inka Wawrzkiewicz W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Sonia Cassani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 11/09 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano ITF W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Isabela De Mattos Silva ITF W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Laura Veronesi Noel Ribeiro W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Marjorie Souza W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Heydi Doldan W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Sofie Hettlerova W15 Santiago |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/03 | Ana Candiotto W15 Santiago |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/03 | Fernanda Rain W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Helena Bueno vs Jennifer Rosa Dourado?
Our model gives 52% to Jennifer Rosa Dourado, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.