Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 14/07, 15:30
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Agustina Soto Neira
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Agustina Soto Neira
Estimated games
18.4
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
7-3 (W-L)
Agustina Soto Neira
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1520 · Agustina Soto Neira 1456
| Francesca Mattioli | Agustina Soto Neira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Mattioli (rating 1520 vs 1456).
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Agustina Soto Neira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-8.4 | 8.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Gabriela Carvalho Bettoni W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Camila Markus W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Vanesa Suarez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Alice Otis UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Alex Ackman UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Yilin Yan UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Madison Brengle ITF W35 Berkeley · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Agustina Soto Neira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Luana Plaza W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Daniela Teodoro Souza W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Juliana Rodriguez W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Luiza Eidelvein W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Agustina Soto Neira?
Our model gives 75% to Francesca Mattioli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.