Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 14/07, 20:00
Prediction: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
5-5 (W-L)
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Barrera Aguirre 1471 · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1526
| Isabella Barrera Aguirre | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (rating 1471 vs 1526).
- Note: Isabella Barrera Aguirre makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Isabella Barrera Aguirre | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.8 | 10.9-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 61% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Camila Romero W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Jenelle Roberts W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Katerina Mandelikova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Camila Markus W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Bella Payne W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Anna Rogers W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?
Our model gives 71% to Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.