Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 14/07, 10:30
Prediction: Pietro Marino vs Andrea Bacaloni
Prediction summary
Winner
Pietro Marino
Andrea Bacaloni
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Marino
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea Bacaloni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Marino 1481 · Andrea Bacaloni 1518
| Pietro Marino | Andrea Bacaloni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pietro Marino | Andrea Bacaloni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.8 | 9.3-8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Adam Lynch M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Oliver Crawford M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Edoardo De Filippo M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Togan Tokac M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Filip Poklemba M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/03 | Noah Perfetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Cristian Campese M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 10/03 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Marino vs Andrea Bacaloni?
Our model gives 52% to Pietro Marino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.