Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 14/07, 21:00
Prediction: Gabriele Vulpitta vs Pierluigi Basile
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Vulpitta
Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Vulpitta
7-3 (W-L)
Pierluigi Basile
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Vulpitta 1557 · Pierluigi Basile 1532
| Gabriele Vulpitta | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabriele Vulpitta | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.2 | 12.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Vulpitta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Heremana Courte M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Miguel Simao M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/06 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Yassine Smiej M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Balthazar Huss M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Alberto Morolli M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Vulpitta vs Pierluigi Basile?
Our model gives 62% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.