Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 14/07, 12:00
Prediction: Gilberto Ravasio vs Lorenzo Beraldo
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilberto Ravasio
Lorenzo Beraldo
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gilberto Ravasio
1-9 (W-L)
Lorenzo Beraldo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilberto Ravasio 1390 · Lorenzo Beraldo 1478
| Gilberto Ravasio | Lorenzo Beraldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Beraldo (rating 1390 vs 1478).
- Lorenzo Beraldo is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Gilberto Ravasio makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Gilberto Ravasio | Lorenzo Beraldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-12 | 9.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.1% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilberto Ravasio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jakub Filip M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Daniel Domingos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/04 | Liam Branger M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Leo Deflandre M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 07/04 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lorenzo Beraldo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Gabriele Maria Piano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Iannis Miletich M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Samuele Pieri M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Luigi Valletta M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/05 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/04 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilberto Ravasio vs Lorenzo Beraldo?
Our model gives 68% to Lorenzo Beraldo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.